Preview

Lomonosov World Politics Journal

Advanced search

International development cooperation and political risks for transnational business: Linking research topics

https://doi.org/10.48015/2076-7404-2023-15-1-133-163

Abstract

International development cooperation and political risks for transnational business are two topics which have always drawn attention from specialists in international political economy. Each of these topics is studied by a dedicated subdiscipline with a specific terminology, strong analytical centers and influential peer-reviewed journals. Despite political risks had initially been associated with developing countries (and transition economies — after the Cold War), two distinctive research clusters have developed separately from one another — quite inexplicably. Drawing on the idea of immanent proximity of international development studies and political risk analysis, this paper develops the logic of blending their research agendas.
The first two sections formulate key presumptions meant to justify the conjugation of two topics. The first presumption is an acknowledgement of an engrained commercial motivation in any modality of development cooperation and the latter’s ability to serve as a tool to promote foreign economic interests. The second presumption emphasizes the existence of an indissoluble link between political risks for business with socio-economic and political development disbalances within and between countries. The final section identifies concrete dimensions of conjugation of two research agendas, such as: 1) conducting political risk assessments in the course of programming and implementing development projects; 2) examining the impact of political risk manifestations on provider countries’ ability to mobilize financial resources for international development; studying the practices of using different development cooperation tools to mitigate political risks for foreign economic activity — both through a direct and deliberate reduction of risk perceived by business and through an indirect impact on the environment where political risks are formed; 4) exploring the logic of emergence of new risk factors (of various types) in the course of implementing development cooperation policies. The conclusion argues for focusing on the reverse impact of new trends in international development cooperation on the parameters of political risks for international business from the Western and non-Western countries amidst the global turbulence, using all available sources of statistical data — conventional and unconventional. It also draws a step-by-step research plan and assesses the theoretical and policy relevance of obtaining anticipated results.

About the Author

V. I. Bartenev
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Russian Federation
Vladimir I. Bartenev — PhD (History), Founding Director of the Center for Security and Development Studies, School of World Politics

1 Leninskie Gory, Moscow, 119991



References

1. Bartenev V.I. 2020. Mezhdunarodnaya pomoshch’ stranam Blizhnego Vostoka i Severnoi Afriki: upravlyaya riskami: doklad no. 62/2020 [International assistance to the Middle East and North Africa: Managing the risks: Report no. 62/2020]. Moscow, RIAC Publ. Available at: https://russiancouncil.ru/papers/MENA-IntAid-Report62.pdf (accessed: 05.02.2023). (In Russ.)

2. Bartenev V.I. 2017. Ot ‘nesostoyavshikhsya gosudarstv’ k ‘neustoichivym sostoyaniyam’: logika ponyatiinoi ekvilibristiki [From ‘failed states’ to ‘states of fragility’: Logic of conceptual acrobatics]. Polis. Political Studies, no. 2, pp. 26‒41. DOI: 10.17976/jpps/2017.02.03. (In Russ.)

3. Beletskaya M.Yu. 2017. Rossiya v sisteme sodeistviya mezhdunarodnomu razvitiyu [Russia in the system of international development assistance]. PhD Thesis. Moscow. (In Russ.)

4. Bordovskikh A.N. 2020. Politicheskie riski v usloviyakh global’nykh vyzovov traditsionnym sistemam gosupravleniya [Political risks in the era of global challenges to traditional governance structures]. Analysis and Forecasting. IMEMO Journal, no. 1, pp. 63‒73. DOI: 10.20542/afij-2020-1-63-73. (In Russ.)

5. Bordovskikh A.N. 2022. Ekspropriatsiya v XXI v. — novyi vyzov dlya issledovanii politicheskogo riska [Expropriation in the 21st century — new challenge for political risk analysis]. Outlines of Global Transformations: Politics, Economics, Law, vol. 15, no. 1, pp. 298–313. DOI: 10.23932/2542-0240-2022-15-1-15. (In Russ.)

6. Braterskii M.V. 2010. Ekonomicheskie instrumenty vneshnei politiki i politicheskie riski [Economic instruments of foreign policy and political risks]. Moscow, Izdatel’skii dom Gosudarstvennogo universiteta — Vysshei shkoly ekonomiki Publ. (In Russ.)

7. Gurova I.P. 2016. Strakhovanie politicheskogo riska v mezhdunarodnom investirovanii [Political risk insurance in the international investment]. Nalogi i finansy, no. 3 (31), pp. 7‒20. (In Russ.)

8. Degterev D.A. 2016. Sodeistvie mezhdunarodnomu razvitiyu: evolyutsiya mezhdunarodno-pravovykh rezhimov i effektivnost’ vneshnei pomoshchi [International development assistance: Evolution of international legal regimes and aid effectiveness]. Moscow, URSS Publ. (In Russ.)

9. Ermolov M.O. 2022. Rossiiskii mekhanizm mezhdunarodnoi pomoshchi: nezavershennyi proekt [The Russian framework for international assistance: An unfinished plan]. International Organisations Research Journal, vol. 10, no. 3, pp. 134‒155. DOI: 10.17323/1996-7845-2015-03-134. (In Russ.)

10. Zaitsev Yu.K. 2013. Mnogostoronnie mekhanizmy sodeistviya mezhdunarodnomu razvitiyu: ekonomicheskii aspekt [Multilateral mechanisms of international development assistance: Economic aspect]. PhD Thesis. Moscow. (In Russ.)

11. Maksimova A.V. 2015. Chto tsenim, to i otsenivaem: otsenka rezul’tativnosti sodeistviya mezhdunarodnomu razvitiyu [Measure what you treasure: Evaluating the effectiveness of development assistance]. International Organisations Research Journal, vol. 10, no. 1, pp. 56‒79. (In Russ.)

12. Morozkina A.K. 2018. Dvustoronnyaya ofitsial’naya pomoshch’ razvitiyu: vliyanie mirovogo finansovogo krizisa 2008‒2009 gg. [Bilateral official development assistance: Impact of the 2008‒2009 global financial crisis]. PhD Thesis. Moscow. (In Russ.)

13. Nechkin D.A. 2018. Evolyutsiya ponyatiya ‘politicheskii risk’: klassicheskie i sovremennye kontseptsii [Evolution of political risk concept: Classical and contemporary interpretations]. Lomonosov World Politics Journal, vol. 10, no. 4, pp. 109‒137. (In Russ.)

14. Oleinov A.G. 2017. Mezhdunarodnaya politekonomiya: predmet i metod [International political economy: Subject matter and method]. World Economy and International Relations, vol. 61, no. 2, pp. 54‒64. DOI: 10.20542/0131-22272017-61-2-54-64. (In Russ.)

15. Popova O.P. 2019. Sodeistvie mezhdunarodnomu razvitiyu kak instrument vneshnei politiki i vneshneekonomicheskoi deyatel’nosti FRG [International development assistance as an instrument of foreign policy and foreign economic activity of Germany]. PhD Thesis. Moscow. (In Russ.)

16. Baranovskii V.G., Kvashnin Yu.D., Taganova N.V. (eds.). 2018. Sodeistvie mezhdunarodnomu razvitiyu kak instrument vneshnei politiki: zarubezhnyi opyt [International development assistance as foreign policy tool: Foreign experience]. Moscow, IMEMO Publ. (In Russ.)

17. Bartenev V.I., Glazunova E.N. (eds.). 2012. Sodeistvie mezhdunarodnomu razvitiyu: Kurs lektsii [International development cooperation. Set of lectures]. Moscow, The World Bank Publ. (In Russ.)

18. Galishcheva N.V., Kapitsa L.M. (eds.). 2022. Sodeistvie mezhdunarodnomu razvitiyu: Uchebnik [International development assistance: Textbook]. Moscow, MGIMO-University Publ. (In Russ.)

19. Starikova E.A. 2021. Ustoichivoe razvitie v menyayushchemsya mire. Rol’ gosudarstva i biznesa [Sustainable development in a changing world. The role of government and business]. Moscow, KNORUS Publ. (In Russ.)

20. Tkachenko S.L. 2015. Mezhdunarodnaya politekonomiya — rossiiskaya shkola [International political economy: Russian school]. Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. International Relations, no. 4, pp. 106‒118. (In Russ.)

21. Anderson M. 1999. Do no harm: How aid can support peace — or war. Boulder, London, Lynne Rienner Publishers.

22. Bayliss K. et al. 2020. The use of development funds for de-risking private investment: How effective is it in delivering development results? Requested by the European Parliament’s Committee on Development. Policy Department for External Relations, Directorate General for External Policies of the Union. PE 603.486. EP/EXPO/DEVE/FWC/2019-01/Lot3/R/01. Available at: https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/STUD/2020/603486/EXPO_STU(2020)603486_EN.pdf (accessed: 05.02.2023).

23. Berthélemy J.-C. 2006. Aid allocation: Comparing donors’ behaviours. Swedish Economic Policy Review, vol. 13, pp. 75‒109.

24. Craviotto N. 2022. Under pressure: How private sector instruments are threatening the untying of aid. Eurodad. Available at: https://assets.nationbuilder.com/eurodad/pages/2892/attachments/original/1649245060/tied-aid-2022.pdf?1649245060 (accessed: 05.02.2023).

25. Craviotto N., Caio C. 2021. Time for action: How private sector instruments are undermining aid budgets. Eurodad. Available at: https://assets.nationbuilder.com/eurodad/pages/2008/attachments/original/1618914562/time-for-action-EN.pdf?1618914562 (accessed: 05.02.2023).

26. Garbacz W., Vilalta D., Moller L. 2021. The role of guarantees in blended finance. OECD development cooperation working papers, no. 97. Paris, OECD Publishing.

27. Holling C.S. 1973. Resilience and stability of ecological systems. Annual Review of Ecological Systems, vol. 4, pp. 1‒23. DOI: 10.1146/annurev. es.04.110173.000245.

28. Martínez-Zarzoso I., Nowak-Lehmann F., Klasen S., Johannsen F. 2016. Does German development aid boost German exports and German employment? A sectoral level analysis. Journal of Economics and Statistics, vol. 236, no. 1, pp. 71‒94. DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2015-1003.

29. Matsukawa T., Habeck O. 2007. Review of risk mitigation instruments for infrastructure financing and recent trends and developments. Trends and policy options, no. 4. Washington, D.C., The World Bank, PPIAF.

30. Mayer H. 2018. Political risk insurance and its effectiveness in supporting private sector investment in fragile states. The LSE-Oxford Commission on State Fragility, Growth and Development. Available at: https://www.theigc.org/sites/default/files/2018/05/Political-risk-insurance.pdf (accessed: 04.02.2023).

31. McLean E.V. 2015. Multilateral aid and domestic economic interests. International Organization, vol. 69, no. 1, pp. 97–130. DOI: 10.1017/S0020818314000289.

32. Metcalfe V., Martin E., Pantuliano S. 2011. Risk in humanitarian action: Towards a common approach? HPG Commissioned Paper. Overseas Development Institute. Available at: https://cdn.odi.org/media/documents/6764.pdf (accessed: 05.02.2023).

33. Milner H.V., Tingley D. 2010. The political economy of US foreign aid: American legislators and the domestic politics of aid. Economics and Politics, vol. 22, no. 2, pp. 200‒232. DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-0343.2009.00356.x.

34. Simon J. 1982. Political risk assessment: Past trends and future prospects. The Columbia Journal of World Business, vol. 17, no. 3, pp. 62‒71.

35. Walker B., Holling C.S., Carpenter S.R., Kinzig A. 2004. Resilience, adaptability and transformability in social-ecological systems. Ecology and Society, vol. 9, no. 2, art. 5. DOI: 10.5751/ES-00650-090205.


Review

For citations:


Bartenev V.I. International development cooperation and political risks for transnational business: Linking research topics. Lomonosov World Politics Journal. 2023;15(1):133–163. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.48015/2076-7404-2023-15-1-133-163

Views: 462


ISSN 2076-7404 (Print)