Donald Trump’s Second Presidency: National Interest vs. ‘Rules-Based Order’?
https://doi.org/10.48015/2076-7404-2025-17-3-38-79
Abstract
From the outset of his second presidential term, Donald Trump proclaimed a fundamental reassessment of Washington’s foreign policy priorities, explicitlyasserting the primacy of the U.S. national interests over the globalist objectives of maintaining the world order. This discourse has drawn strong criticism from advocates of the so-called liberal international order, traditionally associated with the Democratic Party, who accuse D. Trump of neo-isolationism, of sacrificing principled policy positions for transactionalism, and of undermining the foundations of America’s global leadership. Central to this debate is the concept of the ‘rules-based international order’, championed by liberal internationalists yet explicitly rejected by the Trump’s administration. To better understand the true nature of Washington’s contemporary foreign policy, this article examines the evolution of the ‘rules-based order’ concept, identifies the core elements of the ‘America First’ narrative advocated by the Trump administration, and, on this basis, assesses the arguments of its supporters and opponents. The study reveals that calls for re-evaluating the U.S. role in the international system, including cost-benefit analysis of maintaining the existing order, predate Trump’s presidency. These concerns rather stem from the exhaustion of the unipolar moment and the deepening crisis of liberal global governance models and the Western ideological universalism that effectively underpinned the ‘rules-based order’ concept. In this regard, Trump’s prioritization of national interests over liberal internationalism is quite explicable. However, the unpredictability, penchant for theatricality, and policy inconsistencies that have already marked D. Trump’s tenure generate additional challenges and uncertainties both for Washington’s allies and, especially, for those countries that the U.S. leaders label ‘revisionists’. In this context, the author emphasizes that Trump’s ‘nationalization’ and ‘deglobalization’ of U.S. foreign and economic strategy imply not isolationism or renunciation of global ambitions, but rather a deliberate attempt to replace liberal internationalism with a framework where the United States could operate on a strictly unilateralist basis.
About the Author
P. Ye. SmirnovRussian Federation
Pavel Ye. Smirnov — Senior Research Fellow
2/3 Khlebny per., Moscow, Russia, 121069
References
1. Baranovskiy V.G. 2018. Rossiya: evolyutsiya vzglyadov na ‘otvetstvennost’ po zashchite’ [Evolution of Russia’s approaches to the ‘responsibility to protect’]. Pathways to Peace and Security, no. 1 (54), pp. 115–128. DOI: 10.20542/2307-1494-2018-1-115-128. (In Russ.)
2. Bolton J. 2020. The room where it happened: A White House memoir. New York, Simon & Schuster [Russ. ed.: Bolton Dzh. 2023. Tsentr prinyatiya reshenii. Memuary iz Belogo doma. Moscow, Rodina Publ.].
3. Grinin A.L. 2024. Mirovoi poryadok i ego sovremennoe sostoyanie [World order and its current state]. Historical Psychology & Sociology, vol. 18, no. 1, pp. 105–130. DOI: 10.30884/ipsi/2024.01.04. (In Russ.)
4. Dutkevich P. 2022. Grandioznyi raskol: Kratkii putevoditel’ po formirovaniyu novogo mirovogo poryadka [The grand split]. Russia in Global Affairs, no. 6, pp. 22–34. DOI: 10.31278/1810-6439-2022-20-6-22-34. (In Russ.)
5. Kosarev V.A., Glazova A.V., Ermakov S.M. et al. 2025. Budushchee miroustroistvo: osnovnye faktory i perspektivy formirovaniya [The future world order: Key factors and prospects for its emergence]. National Strategy Issues, no. 2 (89), pp. 12–47. DOI: 10.52311/2079-3359_2025_2_12. (In Russ.)
6. Sazonova K. 2024. Krovnye brat’ya ili krovnye vragi: yuridicheskie parametry otlichii ponyatii ‘mezhdunarodnogo prava’ i ‘mezhdunarodnogo poryadka, osnovannogo na pravilakh’ [Blood brothers or blood enemies: Legal parameters of the differences between the concepts of ‘international law’ and ‘rules-based international order’]. The International Affairs, no. 3, pp. 50–59. Available at: https://interaffairs.ru/jauthor/material/2965 (accessed: 01.10.2025). (In Russ.)
7. Sakwa R. 2017. Russia against the rest: The post-Cold War crisis of world order [Russ. ed.: Sakva R. 2020. Rossiya protiv ostal’nykh. Krizis mirovogo poryadka posle okonchaniya kholodnoi voiny. Moscow, Ves’ mir Publ.].
8. Samuilov S.M. 2024. Tramp drug ili vrag? Vneshnyaya politika SShA ot Trampa do Baidena i dalee [Is Trump a friend or foe? U.S. foreign policy from Trump to Biden and beyond]. Moscow, Knizhnyi mir Publ. (In Russ.)
9. Kuznetsov A.V. (ed.). 2020. Fenomen Trampa [The Trump phenomenon]. Moscow, INION Publ. (In Russ.)
10. Friman Ch. 2023. O sferakh vliyaniya. Pochemu ikh nado uvazhat’, no ne nado sozdavat’ [About spheres of influence. Why they should be respected, but not created]. Russia in Global Affairs, vol. 21, no. 6, pp. 8–36. DOI: 10.31278/1810-6439-2023-21-6-8-36. (In Russ.)
11. Sharikov P.A. 2024. ‘Trampizm’ kak dominiruyushchee dvizhenie v Respublikanskoi partii SShA v 2020-e gody [‘Trumpism’ as a dominant movement in the U.S. Republican Party in the 2020s.]. Lomonosov World Politics Journal, vol. 16, no. 4, pp. 70–94. DOI: 10.48015/2076-7404-2024-16-4-70-94. (In Russ.)
12. Beqiraj J., Anastasiadou I., Darnopykh A. 2024. The rules-based international order: Catalyst or hurdle for international law? Discussion paper. British Institute of International and Comparative Law. March.
13. Brands H. 2025. The renegade order. How Trump wields American power. Foreign Affairs, vol. 104, no. 2, pp. 22–35.
14. Cooley A., Nexon D. 2020. Exit from hegemony: The unraveling of the American global order. New York, Oxford University Press.
15. Dugard J. 2023. The choice before us: International law or a ‘rules-based international order’? Leiden Journal of International Law, vol. 36, no. 2, pp. 223– 232. DOI: 10.1017/S0922156523000043.
16. Ferguson N. 2025. How to win the new Cold War. To compete with China, Trump should learn from Reagan. Foreign Affairs, vol. 104, no. 1, pp. 24–32.
17. Goddard S. 2025. The rise and fall of great-power competition. Trump’s new spheres of influence. Foreign Affairs, vol. 104, no. 3, pp. 8–23.
18. Goldgeier J. 2018. The misunderstood roots of international order — and why they matter again. The Washington Quarterly, vol. 41, no. 3, pp. 7–20. DOI: 10.1080/0163660X.2018.1519339.
19. Hopewell K. 2025. Unravelling of the trade legal order: Enforcement, defection and the crisis of the WTO dispute settlement system. International Affairs, vol. 101, no. 3, pp. 1103–1117. DOI: 10.1093/ia/iiaf055.
20. Ikenberry J.G. 2018. The end of liberal international order? International Affairs, vol. 94, no. 1, pp. 7–23. DOI: 10.1093/ia/iix241.
21. Keohane R., Nye J. Jr. 2025. The end of the long American Century. Trump and the sources of U.S. power. Foreign Affairs, vol. 104, no. 4, pp. 68–79.
22. Layne C. 1997. From preponderance to offshore balancing: America’s future grand strategy unavailable. International Security, vol. 22, no. 1, pp. 86–124. DOI: 10.1162/isec.22.1.86.
23. Lodgaard S. 2025. Exceptionalism and rules-based order: From Biden to Trump: Report No. 213. Tokyo, Toda Peace Institute. Available at: https://toda. org/assets/files/resources/policy-briefs/tr-213_exceptionalism-and-rules-basedorder_lodgaard.pdf (accessed: 01.10.2025).
24. Mearsheimer J.J., Walt S.M. 2016. The case for offshore balancing. A superior U.S. grand strategy. Foreign Affairs, vol. 95, no. 4, pp. 70–83.
25. Nelson B. 2025. Donald Trump’s spheres of influence strategic doctrine: What is it? And what are the global consequences of it? Journal of Global Strategic Studies, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 1–26. DOI: 10.36859/jgss.v5.1.2842.
26. Posen B. 2014. Restraint: A new foundation for U.S. grand strategy. Ithaca, Cornell University Press.
27. Vylegzhanin A.N., Nefedov B.I., Voronin E.R. et al. 2021. The term ‘rulesbased international order’ in international legal discourses. Moscow Journal of International Law, no. 2, pp. 35–60. DOI: 10.24833/0869-0049-2021-2-35-60.
28. Woods N. 2025. Order without America. How the International system can survive a hostile Washington. Foreign Affairs, vol. 104, no. 4, pp. 82–93.
Review
For citations:
Smirnov P.Ye. Donald Trump’s Second Presidency: National Interest vs. ‘Rules-Based Order’? Lomonosov World Politics Journal. 2025;17(3):38-79. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.48015/2076-7404-2025-17-3-38-79

















