HISTORY OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS AND FOREIGN POLICY
The situation in Yemen in the 1960s went far beyond an ordinary public upheaval and internal crisis. The turmoil caused by the political regime change affected the interests of numerous foreign stakeholders, in particular, of Great Britain. The response of the British government to a new threat to its strategic interests in the region took form of a mercenary operation. An unofficial use of mercenaries for clandestine operations was not an extraordinary measure in the modern world history. However, the British operation in Yemen stands out in that regard as it was for the first time since the end of the World War II that such mission was carried out by mercenaries alone. It is therefore not surprising that this operation has played a crucial role in the development of corporate mercenarism in general.
The first section examines the causes and triggers of Great Britain’s intervention in the North Yemen Civil War in both global and regional contexts. The second section covers the initial stage of the mercenary operation: its priorities and objectives, funding mechanisms, the main forms and the role of mercenaries’ assistance to the Royalist forces. The author also emphasizes the role of regional actors, involved in the conflict on both sides: that of the Republican government (Egypt) and that of the former royal regime (Saudi Arabia, Israel). Finally, the third section examines the mercenary activities in the final stages of the North Yemen Civil War, particularly difficulties they faced as the British and the Saudi governments began to lose interest in supporting the Royalists. In conclusion the author assesses the influence of this operation on the development of corporate mercenarism.
THEORY OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS AND INTERNATIONAL INTEGRATION
The paper examines new challenges that confront the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) after India and Pakistan have joined it as full-fledged members. This enlargement of the SCO implies a considerable increase in its political and economic weight, as well as additional interstate contradictions, which have previously had a peripheral significance for the SCO.
In that regard special attention is drawn to the new political dynamics within the SCO. The author argues that cooperation within the Russia-India-China triangle (RIC) will play a decisive role for the SCO development. In this context, two scenarios are outlined. The first one envisages that the Russo-Chinese and Russo-Indian relations will have a positive dynamics while the Chinese-Indian relations will remain troubled. It is stressed that India’s participation in the SCO is likely to become another factor which will prevent the evolution of the Organization into anti-Western geopolitical alliance. Under favorable conditions, all three powers will be able to formulate a common position with regard to the most crucial international issues or to respond promptly to negative tendencies in the economic and security spheres. The second scenario involves a gradual deepening and extension of cooperation in the RIC format based on a common vision of geopolitical transformations within the Greater Eurasia. In this case, it can be assumed that over time the SCO will become the basis for the formation of the Greater Eurasian Partnership.
Another important topic covered in the paper is a security problem which is a traditional priority of the SCO policy in general and in the Central Asia region in particular. This issue has acquired new dimensions due to the Organization’s enlargement and the growth of its geopolitical role. In 2018–2019 the SCO powers, together and separately, have made a decisive contribution to the settlement of inter-Afghanistan conflict when the US and NATO troops had been withdrawn from Afghanistan. Moreover, it was due to the SCO efforts that the breakthrough of extremist and terrorist groups from Afghanistan to the Central Asia countries was prevented. The author concludes that in the coming years the SCO will play the key role in structuring the Greater Eurasia and strengthening the multipolar world order.
INTERNATIONAL SECURITY
The paper examines different types of modern military unmanned systems — unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), unmanned ground systems and unmanned maritime systems — in terms of related R&D in different countries, changes in world market demand as well as opportunities and prospects for their limitation and control. The authors provide an updated classification of these three types of unmanned systems. Based on the analysis of contemporary R&D projects and procurement data the paper shows that global market of unmanned systems will grow in the near future and that this will become a major impediment for promoting control and limitation of such systems. It is therefore equally difficult to expect expansion and strengthening of effective export control of the unmanned systems. On the contrary, opposite trends are likely to prevail, including, among all, artificial adjustment of the unmanned systems to the categories of export products with relaxed requirements. The authors conclude that it would be equally difficult to overcome other drawbacks of export control regimes, such as possibilities of non-material technology transfer or nonadherence to corresponding restrictive regimes of countries which are the largest producers and exporters of unmanned systems.
Concerning UAVs’ limitation and control, the authors outline two main tracks of debate at the international level — the UN discussions on restriction of use of the unmanned platforms classified as lethal autonomous weapon systems (LAWS) and less institutionalized discussions on prospects for incorporating of unmanned systems in the set of arms control agreements.
The authors identify main barriers to providing effective control over the development of the military UAVs, as well as prospects for advancement in that direction, and, finally, formulate some policy relevant recommendations.